Ellis Park Derby Day and West Virginia Derby: Sunday Betting Guide

Sunday, August 9 stacks two of the summer's richest three year old dirt races on top of each other. Ellis Park runs its six stakes Derby Day card in Henderson, Kentucky, headlined by Bob Baffert's returning Robert B. Lewis winner Plutarch in the $400,000 Ellis Park Derby. A few hundred miles east, Mountaineer runs its own $400,000 West Virginia Derby along with the $200,000 West Virginia Governor's Stakes. Between the two cards we're looking at fourteen stakes races and well over a million and a half dollars in purses. Here's how we're betting all of it.

Bet Sunday's stakes races with the Ellis Park Derby Day betting guide"


Plutarch Headlines A Loaded Ellis Park Derby Field

The $400,000 Ellis Park Derby presented by Hallway Feeds goes as Race 7 at 2:42 p.m. and it's the clear marquee event of the Ellis Park card. Plutarch makes his first start in six months for Hall of Famer Bob Baffert, and he arrives on the back of a three quarter length win in the Robert B. Lewis (G3) at Santa Anita in early February. Florent Geroux keeps the mount and breaks from post 5 as the 2/1 morning line favorite.

Plutarch isn't walking into a soft spot. Dallas Stewart's Corona de Oro enters off a sharp allowance win and sits second choice at 7/2 from post 1. Brendan Walsh's Stop the Car, third in the Pat Day Mile (G2), is close behind at 5/2. Rick Dutrow's Igniter, winner of the Jimmy Winkfield Stakes, rounds out the top of the market at 3/1. Randy Morse saddles two live longshots in Seventies Music at 15/1 and Spun D M C at 8/1, both multiple stakes placed.

The six horse field is tightly bunched on paper, and with Plutarch fresh off a layoff we like using him underneath rather than alone on top. Corona de Oro's recent form and rail draw make him the play to beat the favorite.

PPHorseJockeyTrainerML Odds
1Corona de OroBrian Hernandez Jr.Dallas Stewart7/2
2Seventies MusicRafael BejaranoRandy Morse15/1
3Stop the CarBen CurtisBrendan Walsh5/2
4IgniterLuis SaezRick Dutrow Jr.3/1
5PlutarchFlorent GerouxBob Baffert2/1
6Spun D M CFrancisco ArrietaRandy Morse8/1

Cash Call Leads A Deep Groupie Doll Field

The one mile Groupie Doll (Listed) runs as Race 5 at 1:44 p.m. and drew seven fillies and mares. Bob Baffert's Cash Call, a Summer Oaks (G3) winner last year at Santa Anita who invaded Kentucky in May, sits as the 9/5 favorite with Geroux aboard from post 2. Rodolphe Brisset's Queen Azteca, runner up in the Iowa Distaff, is the second choice at 7/2.

John Servis sends out Five a Side, a three time winner cross entered off a runner up finish in her last start, at 3/1. Ron Moquett's In Just My Heels, a six time winner, rounds out the second tier at 5/1. Cash Call's class edge is real, but she's coming out of California into a new circuit, which is worth weighing against the price.

PPHorseJockeyTrainerML Odds
1Queen AztecaCristian TorresRodolphe Brisset7/2
2Cash CallFlorent GerouxBob Baffert9/5
3In Just My HeelsYedsit HazlewoodRon Moquett5/1
4Floating BeautyEdgar MoralesLonnie Briley8/1
5Five a SideJaime TorresJohn Servis3/1
6Union MistBen CurtisBrendan Walsh10/1
7ChilledMario GutierrezVicki Oliver20/1

Salahudin And Manuka Honey Test Stakes Company

Ellis Park Juvenile (Race 4, 1:16 p.m.)

Baffert's debut winner Salahudin, victorious at Ellis Park a month ago in his own trainer's first ever start at the track, is the 2/1 favorite in the seven furlong Ellis Park Juvenile presented by Claiborne Farm. Steve Asmussen's Grand Yaupon, a Saratoga maiden special weight winner, is next at 5/2. Carlos David's Never a Doubt is 4/1 off a debut win, and Eddie Kenneally's Sargent Bilko sits at 9/2.

PPHorseJockeyTrainerML Odds
1TigradoOrlando BocachicaMichel Douaihy20/1
2Sargent BilkoBen CurtisEddie Kenneally9/2
3Chasing the SonSanto SanjurRey Hernandez12/1
4Grand YauponKeith AsmussenSteve Asmussen5/2
5BeararmourJames GrahamKeith Desormeaux6/1
6SalahudinFlorent GerouxBob Baffert2/1
7Never a DoubtJaime TorresCarlos David4/1

Ellis Park Debutante (Race 6, 2:12 p.m.)

Brian Lynch's Manuka Honey, a dominant seven and a quarter length debut winner at Churchill Downs, is the 9/5 favorite in the $250,000 Ellis Park Debutante presented by Hausmann Outdoor Solutions. John Ennis's undefeated Glory Run, unbeaten through two starts including a Horseshoe Indianapolis maiden win, is next at 3/1. Steve Asmussen's Cardio Cat rounds out the top tier at 7/2.

PPHorseJockeyTrainerML Odds
1Cardio CatErik AsmussenSteve Asmussen7/2
2Velvet BerettaFrancisco ArrietaMichel Douaihy12/1
3For the WinAxel ConcepcionGeorge Weaver10/1
4Sweet MaryJaime TorresCarlos Santamaria15/1
5Greatest JoyAdam BeschizzaKevin Rice15/1
6Manuka HoneyLuis SaezBrian Lynch9/5
7Caffeine FixCristian TorresRodolphe Brisset6/1
8Glory RunAlex AchardJohn Ennis3/1

Owen Almighty Returns For Cowboy Jones, A Fine Chardonnay Leads Audubon Oaks

Ellis Park Audubon Oaks (Race 8, 3:12 p.m.)

The $200,000 R.A. Cowboy Jones Stakes runs as Race 9 at 3:42 p.m. over a mile. Brian Lynch's Owen Almighty, the 2024 Ellis Park Juvenile winner coming off a near miss in the Hanshin Stakes (G3), is the 3/1 second choice with Luis Saez back aboard from post 2. Robertino Diodoro's Heroic Move tops the morning line at 9/2, while local hope Coal Battle, fourth in the Hanshin for trainer Lonnie Briley, sits at 7/2 from the outside post.

PPHorseJockeyTrainerML Odds
1Heroic MoveBrian Hernandez Jr.Robertino Diodoro9/2
2Owen AlmightyLuis SaezBrian Lynch3/1
3Money SupplyBen CurtisJoe Sharp20/1
4Extra AnejoFlorent GerouxSteve Asmussen4/1
5Tennessee LambJaime TorresRusty Arnold II20/1
6This Is UscarEdgar MoralesJordan Blair5/1
7Bracket BusterAxel ConcepcionVicki Oliver6/1
8Coal BattleCristian TorresLonnie Briley7/2

R.A. "Cowboy" Jones Stakes (Race 9, 3:42 p.m.)

Over in the $200,000 Audubon Oaks, Race 8 at 3:12 p.m., Ian Wilkes trains graded stakes winner A Fine Chardonnay, who took the Beaumont (G2) at Keeneland before a pair of minor placings. She's 4/1 from post 8. Whit Beckman's Percy's Bar, a G1 winner cross entered in Saturday's Test Stakes at Saratoga, tops the morning line at 5/2, and Brian Lynch's graded placed Betty's Pearl is 7/2.

PPHorseJockeyTrainerML Odds
1AltadenaWilliam Antongeorgi IIIDoug O'Neill30/1
2Betty's PearlMario GutierrezBrian Lynch7/2
3ConceitFlorent GerouxBrad Cox6/1
4Bet the GrayFrancisco ArrietaMatt Williams30/1
5Percy's BarLuan MachadoBen Colebrook5/2
6Carmel CoastLuis SaezWhit Beckman6/1
7KingsolverCristian TorresRodolphe Brisset20/1
8A Fine ChardonnayBrian Hernandez Jr.Ian Wilkes4/1
9Twirling AcesBen CurtisBrendan Walsh9/2

J J Grey Tops West Virginia Derby Card At Mountaineer

West Virginia Derby (Race 8, 7:55 p.m.)

Mountaineer's $400,000 West Virginia Derby runs over a mile and an eighth, and it drew an evenly matched field of eight. Kenny McPeek's J J Grey is the 2/1 favorite with Emmanuel Esquivel aboard from post 4. Ben Colebrook's Trendsetter, with Kazushi Kimura riding, is close behind at 5/2.

Steve Asmussen, who holds the West Virginia Derby record with six career wins in the race, saddles Maximum Effort at 9/2. The Maxfield colt is still a maiden but comes in off back to back third place finishes in the Iowa Derby and Texas Derby, and Ramon Vazquez takes the return mount. Saffie Joseph's Bull by the Horns is 7/1, and Amador Sanchez's Wayne's Law rounds out the second tier at 8/1.

Asmussen's West Virginia Derby record is hard to ignore even with a maiden in the field. We like Maximum Effort to improve third time in stakes company, with J J Grey and Trendsetter the ones to beat up top.

PPHorseJockeyTrainerML Odds
1NehalemKevin GonzalezTerry Vaughn50/1
2Baytown DreamerDeshawn L. ParkerPaul McEntee15/1
3TrendsetterKazushi KimuraBen Colebrook5/2
4J J GreyEmmanuel EsquivelKenneth McPeek2/1
5ZihnalJohn VelazquezJonathan Thomas6/1
6Maximum EffortRamon VazquezSteve Asmussen9/2
7Wayne's LawDiego HerreraAmador Sanchez8/1
8Bull by the HornsMicah HusbandsSaffie Joseph Jr.7/1

West Virginia Governor's Stakes (Race 7, 7:30 p.m.)

The $200,000 West Virginia Governor's Stakes precedes the Derby over a mile and a sixteenth. Saffie Joseph's Neoequos is the 3/1 favorite, with Victoria Oliver's Bracket Buster, ridden by John Velazquez, close behind at 5/2. Steve Asmussen's Hall of Fame is 5/1.

PPHorseJockeyTrainerML Odds
1NeoequosMicah HusbandsSaffie Joseph Jr.3/1
2Bracket BusterJohn VelazquezVictoria Oliver5/2
3Play It LoudSunday Diaz Jr.Cynthia McKee10/1
4Mogul (CHI)Diego HerreraAmador Sanchez15/1
5Capo LucaLuis Antonio GonzalezKim Puhl20/1
6Hall of FameEmmanuel EsquivelSteve Asmussen5/1
7Warp NineFrankie PenningtonHarold Wyner8/1
8ItsmybirthdayRamon VazquezRobertino Diodoro6/1
9ChironJose BrachoRichard Estvanko12/1

How We're Betting Sunday's Cards

With the Ellis Park Derby Day Pick 5 running through Races 4 to 8, the smart approach is spreading in the two year old stakes early and narrowing down by the Derby itself. Salahudin and Manuka Honey both look like the safer single digit prices to build around in the Juvenile and Debutante, which frees up bankroll to use Corona de Oro and Stop the Car underneath Plutarch in the finale.

At Mountaineer, the Governor's Stakes into the Derby as a double gives a clean way to combine Neoequos or Bracket Buster with J J Grey, Trendsetter, and Maximum Effort. Given the West Virginia Derby field is eight deep and fairly bunched at the top of the market, we'd rather build a modest exacta box around the top four than lean on a single win bet.


Ready To Bet Sunday's Racing?

Fourteen stakes races, two states, and a returning Baffert star headline the middle Sunday of August. Whether you're building around Plutarch's class or backing Asmussen's record in the West Virginia Derby, there's plenty to work with on both cards.

Bet online at app.mywinners.com, on the MyWinners: Racing & Sports app on iOS or Android, or go here to find your nearest MyWinners or Winners venue in CT.


 

Frequently Asked Questions

The $400,000 Ellis Park Derby runs as Race 7 on Sunday, August 9, with a scheduled post time of 2:42 p.m. ET. It's the seventh race on a ten race Ellis Park card that includes six stakes total.

Bob Baffert's Plutarch is the 2/1 morning line favorite. He returns from a six month layoff off a three quarter length win in the Robert B. Lewis (G3) at Santa Anita, with Florent Geroux back in the saddle from post 5.

The $400,000 West Virginia Derby runs as Race 8 at Mountaineer on Sunday, August 9, with a scheduled post time of 7:55 p.m. ET, right after the West Virginia Governor's Stakes.

Kenny McPeek's J J Grey is the 2/1 morning line favorite with Emmanuel Esquivel riding from post 4. Ben Colebrook's Trendsetter is next at 5/2, and Steve Asmussen's still maiden Maximum Effort is 9/2 off back to back third place finishes in the Iowa Derby and Texas Derby.

Ellis Park also runs the Groupie Doll, Ellis Park Juvenile, Ellis Park Debutante, Audubon Oaks, and R.A. Cowboy Jones Stakes. Mountaineer pairs the West Virginia Derby with the West Virginia Governor's Stakes, giving bettors fourteen stakes races combined across the two tracks.

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